Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.001076 0.001161 0.001252 0.001356 0.001472 0.001599 0.001748
2025-12-07 0.000940 0.001050 0.001175 0.001325 0.001503 0.001710 0.001971
2025-12-14 0.000857 0.000982 0.001127 0.001310 0.001536 0.001811 0.002177
2025-12-21 0.000787 0.000919 0.001076 0.001279 0.001539 0.001869 0.002329
2025-12-28 0.000709 0.000838 0.000995 0.001203 0.001476 0.001832 0.002345
2026-01-04 0.000654 0.000783 0.000941 0.001155 0.001444 0.001829 0.002404
2026-01-11 0.000620 0.000750 0.000914 0.001139 0.001449 0.001876 0.002533
2026-01-18 0.000594 0.000727 0.000896 0.001133 0.001467 0.001939 0.002692
2026-01-25 0.000648 0.000810 0.001022 0.001331 0.001788 0.002471 0.003641
2026-02-01 0.000608 0.000765 0.000973 0.001280 0.001740 0.002442 0.003678
2026-02-08 0.000576 0.000729 0.000935 0.001242 0.001711 0.002439 0.003755
2026-02-15 0.000555 0.000708 0.000915 0.001229 0.001717 0.002492 0.003938
2026-02-22 0.000532 0.000685 0.000897 0.001223 0.001741 0.002590 0.004244
2026-03-01 0.000505 0.000656 0.000867 0.001197 0.001733 0.002635 0.004460
2026-03-08 0.000484 0.000634 0.000846 0.001184 0.001743 0.002713 0.004756
2026-03-15 0.000461 0.000608 0.000818 0.001157 0.001729 0.002742 0.004956
2026-03-22 0.000429 0.000568 0.000767 0.001091 0.001641 0.002629 0.004823
2026-03-29 0.000406 0.000540 0.000733 0.001049 0.001594 0.002587 0.004847
2026-04-05 0.000391 0.000523 0.000716 0.001035 0.001592 0.002632 0.005081
2026-04-12 0.000380 0.000511 0.000705 0.001029 0.001607 0.002710 0.005408
2026-04-19 0.000411 0.000564 0.000796 0.001203 0.001967 0.003549 0.007973
2026-04-26 0.000391 0.000538 0.000763 0.001158 0.001908 0.003480 0.007971
2026-05-03 0.000375 0.000518 0.000737 0.001125 0.001870 0.003456 0.008109